Assembly Elections 2022: Opinion poll shows BJP retaining UP with reduced margin, AAP-Congress to battle it out in Punjab

Even because the survey predicts victory for the BJP in Uttar Pradesh, it’s going to endure an enormous loss in seat-share whereas the celebration and its allies will battle to win even a single seat in Punjab.

Because the Meeting polls in 5 states are nearing, the most recent spherical of ABP-CVoter pre-poll survey reveals that the BJP’s street to victory will probably be a tough one. Even because the survey predicts victory for the saffron celebration in Uttar Pradesh, it’s going to endure an enormous loss in seat-share whereas the celebration and its allies will battle to win even a single seat in Punjab.

The ballot was carried out with a pattern dimension of 1,07,193 folks throughout 690 seats with a margin of error of +/- 3% to +/- 5%. Let’s take a state-wise have a look at what the most recent projections counsel for the forthcoming meeting polls scheduled to be held early neat yr.

Uttar Pradesh

The pre-poll survey signifies that the BJP and its allies will handle to retain its place within the state, regardless of dropping about 108 of its seats. The BJP+ is projected to win round 217 seats (213-221), Samajwadi Celebration 156 seats (152-160), BSP 18 seats (16-20) and Congress 8 (6-10) seats.

BJP+ can also be projected to garner round 40.7 per cent of votes, SP+ 31.1 per cent, BSP 15.1 per cent, and INC 8.9 per cent. The projected vary of seats for BJP+ is 213-221 and for SP+ 152-160. The loss for the BJP, thus, appears to be a direct acquire for the Samajwadi Celebration.

Punjab

In Punjab, the Congress and Aam Aadmi Party might contain in a neck-and-neck contest with not one of the events touching the bulk mark, leaving the Unbiased candidates to be kingmakers, as per the most recent survey. In the meantime, the BJP and its allies would possibly battle even for a single seat within the state.

Congress is predicted to accrue 46 seats, SAD 20, and AAP 51. INC is projected to garner 34.9 per cent votes, SAD 20.6 per cent, AAP 36.5 per cent, and BJP 2.2 per cent. The projected vary of seats for INC is 42-50 and for AAP 47-53.

Uttarakhand

The CVoter outcomes for Uttarakhand point out that BJP would possibly nearly win, with the Congress coming shut however falling in need of the bulk mark. BJP is projected to accrue 38 seats, INC 32, and AAP and others 0. The BJP can also be projected to garner 41.4 per cent votes, INC 36.3 per cent, and AAP 11.8 per cent.

Goa

The BJP is predicted to retain energy comfortably right here because the survey has projected 21 seats for the celebration, which is the precise majority mark within the state. The AAP might bag 5 and the Congress 4. BJP can also be projected to garner 35.7 per cent votes, AAP 23.6 per cent, and INC 18.6 per cent.

Manipur

In Manipur, the BJP is eyeing a passable win. In keeping with the survey, the BJP is more likely to win 25-29 seats, the Congress 20-24, Naga Folks’s Entrance (NPF) 4-8, and others 3-7 within the 60-member Meeting.