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NEW YORK — The dollar slumped to a six-week low against other major currencies on
Monday as markets sorted out the plunge in U.S. Treasury yields last week after the Federal Reserve
reiterated that any spike in inflation is likely to be temporary.
Improved risk sentiment as shown by the rally in global stocks to record highs weighed on the greenback.
Bitcoin stabilized after losses from Sunday, when it plunged as much as 14% to $51,541, which
a report attributed to news of a power outage in China.
The dollar index, which tracks the greenback against major currencies, fell 0.5% to 91.159,
continuing a downtrend that started on March 31.
The greenback’s weakness was pronounced across the board early on Monday, with the currency hitting
multi-week lows against major peers in the G10 group of currencies: the Japanese yen, the Swiss franc, the
Australian dollar and the New Zealand dollar, and the euro.
The 10-year Treasury yield was up slightly on Monday to 1.6082% after sinking last week to 1.5280% from
1.7760% in March.
“Indeed, the USD rally is all but distant memory by now and the currency’s underperformance seems to
reflect the apparent divergence in the outlook between the slumping UST yields and the rather perky bond
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yields elsewhere,” said Valentin Marinov, head of G10 FX research at Credit Agricole.
“This is almost the exact opposite of the moves we saw in March,” Marinov said.
The euro rose above $1.20 for the first time in more than six weeks, touching a high of $1.2048 before
easing off in the morning in New York to $1.2022. The European Central Bank meets on Thursday with
internal divisions over the pace of bond-buying, extended COVID-19 lockdowns and potential delays to the EU
recovery fund forming the backdrop.
The market is in a period of consolidation in U.S. yields and the dollar exchange rates, according to
Masafumi Yamamoto, the chief currency strategist at Mizuho Securities in Tokyo.
The dollar bought 108.2750 yen on Monday, the least since March 5.
Fed Governor Christopher Waller said on CNBC on Friday that the U.S. economy “is ready to rip” as
vaccinations continue and activity picks up, but a rise in inflation is likely to be transitory, echoing
comments from other U.S. central bank officials, including Chair Jerome Powell, over the past week.
“With liquidity still abundant, we are going to hear more about the FX carry trade – which thrives in a
low volatility environment,” said Chris Turner, global head of markets and regional head of research for UK
and CEE at ING.
MSCI’s emerging market currency index hit its highest level in a month and last traded 0.15% higher on
the day.
Bitcoin was last at $56,265, flat for the day after plunging on Sunday.
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Data website CoinMarketCap cited a blackout in China’s Xinjiang region, which reportedly powers a lot of
bitcoin mining, for the selloff.
Despite recent weakness, the world’s most popular cryptocurrency remains up nearly 100%, after more than
quadrupling last year.
========================================================
Currency bid prices at 9:48AM (1348 GMT)
Description RIC Last U.S. Close Pct Change YTD Pct High Bid Low Bid
Previous Change
Session
Dollar index 91.1590 91.6180 -0.49% 1.309% +91.7480 +91.0310
Euro/Dollar $1.2022 $1.1983 +0.33% -1.60% +$1.2048 +$1.1943
Dollar/Yen 108.2750 108.7900 -0.46% +4.80% +108.8250 +108.0100
Euro/Yen 130.17 130.34 -0.13% +2.56% +130.3200 +129.7100
Dollar/Swiss 0.9153 0.9201 -0.51% +3.46% +0.9215 +0.9130
Sterling/Dollar $1.3955 $1.3850 +0.77% +2.15% +$1.3969 +$1.3811
Dollar/Canadian 1.2503 1.2510 -0.05% -1.81% +1.2528 +1.2472
Aussie/Dollar $0.7767 $0.7734 +0.43% +0.97% +$0.7784 +$0.7706
Euro/Swiss 1.1005 1.1023 -0.16% +1.83% +1.1029 +1.0993
Euro/Sterling 0.8612 0.8661 -0.57% -3.64% +0.8672 +0.8611
NZ $0.7180 $0.7148 +0.44% -0.03% +$0.7197 +$0.7117
Dollar/Dollar
Dollar/Norway 8.2975 8.3665 -0.90% -3.44% +8.4110 +8.2830
Euro/Norway 9.9761 10.0290 -0.53% -4.69% +10.0532 +9.9704
Dollar/Sweden 8.3917 8.4277 -0.14% +2.38% +8.4762 +8.3784
Euro/Sweden 10.0892 10.1032 -0.14% +0.13% +10.1257 +10.0819
(Reporting by David Henry in New York and Ritvik Carvalho in London; additional reporting by Kevin Buckland
in Tokyo; editing by Larry King and Paul Simao)
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